I love the chatter. If I had to place bet and the choice was an either "Rebadged KTMS" or "Brand New and totally different Husky" -- I think the far safer bet is on a rebadged KTM. Makes some financial sense and and I agree with Walt, Kelly that that seems to be in the tea leaves.
But... because I am a glass is half-full guy. I am going to suggest that a "new" Husky [different maybe better] is still possible. What I am hoping is that SP's comments about taking on the Japs is his real, long-term goal. To do that -- you need to do some more stuff -- street bikes, play bikes, quads, generators, etc.. KTM is obviously better positioned to do that. For KTM to do that, they must reposition the brand from "niche" to mainstream. That leaves "Niche" open for Husky to fill.
The $64,000 question is how do they do this? [If this is a good prediction anyways?] I simply don't see adding Red KTMs [Husky] + Blue KTMs [Husa] + Orange as a way to achieve the goal of taking on the japs. Its just not ambitious enough. To me, it makes sense to take KTM more mainstream with bigger dealerships, more models, different price points, etc.. KTM seems to be doing this already with all the other stuff they do in Europe an Asia. I think it leaves room for Husky to evolve into the new KTM as KTM gets diluted.
How this "vision" is applied is what I am waiting for. I see some commonality -- I think engines perhaps makes sense. But it wouldn't surprise me to see some exclusive Husky stuff [and some exclusive KTM stuff]. They have the infrastructer to do it -- they have the manufacturing ability. KTM already has a ton of different engines -- a ton. 5 2-strokes + 4 4-strokes + all the street and minis = a ton. Let's call it 15. Why couldn't there be a seperate 250/300 x-lite + a seperate big bore two stroke + a new 450 x-lite? It would only be 20% more -- not huge IMHO. The real question is does it make business sense to keep Husky and KTM unique. I think it does -- in the long run.
What I am not sure it means is that current Husky models will remain. I think a more likely scenerio as the phasing out of Italian Husky's and you will see them replaced with Austrian Husky's -- not just rebadged bikes but something unique. Also something premium. Maybe for the next year or two they ill be rebadged, but down the line I see "unique" Huskys -- wholly different from KTM. KTM can fill a more mainstream market and Husky will be niche manufacturer focused on some core areas. Maybe I am completely full of sh$% -- this isn't my area of expertise. But I just don't see KTM challenging the Japs with 3 different colors. They need to be more ambitious than that.
I actually think you will see Husky being much more race oriented and competition focused than KTM. I think Husky will join MX at a level on par with KTM. You'll see factory support off-road here and abroad. The line wil be premium and race oriented. Think of unique Husky's with premium parts and race editions. SP already knows what rebading will do -- look at Husaberg. He knows his ability to take on the japs will be limited. He wants MORE. To do that -- the group needs to go after the same target in different ways. He is looking to take Husky to 100,000 and KTM to 1.5 million. I just don't think you do that with Red KTMs.